Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.165110 4.821328 5.514065 6.296651 7.152972 8.058421 9.085078
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.123026 4.015353 5.022615 6.230333 7.625595 9.174036 11.009318
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.425653 3.449229 4.678880 6.232682 8.111643 10.279861 12.939829
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.888390 2.968855 4.347355 6.175432 8.477013 11.222741 14.688631
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.613090 2.768064 4.318678 6.457146 9.235856 12.635730 17.019210
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.318762 2.484909 4.135666 6.503056 9.674683 13.649174 18.875027
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.167357 2.380625 4.174586 6.828483 10.468860 15.113950 21.311284
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.024475 2.262462 4.173066 7.084311 11.166320 16.461654 23.620031
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.872028 2.099897 4.082775 7.197142 11.661116 17.546979 25.606118
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.709187 1.886753 3.887320 7.134160 11.897404 18.284858 27.146207
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.610734 1.772876 3.834157 7.270921 12.407890 19.389244 29.174379
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.528552 1.673980 3.792489 7.415710 12.925917 20.506595 31.230829
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.414637 1.484488 3.579287 7.284070 13.045442 21.095673 32.617830
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.316108 1.300800 3.352378 7.110392 13.089364 21.575064 33.862115
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.249156 1.172907 3.211278 7.063651 13.315502 22.307836 35.456919
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.191043 1.046727 3.055455 6.977033 13.470653 22.936484 36.913227
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.171586 1.030004 3.118603 7.271102 14.223921 24.433349 39.587639
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.137748 0.952677 3.044400 7.314823 14.579807 25.358617 41.477256
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.126977 0.953254 3.138414 7.664524 15.430649 27.016718 44.410787
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.113100 0.936670 3.191628 7.939942 16.166423 28.515466 47.136585
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.093521 0.887314 3.163708 8.061225 16.652299 29.650913 49.361132
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.069616 0.802453 3.040229 7.992702 16.821081 30.314674 50.921262
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.057463 0.766624 3.030822 8.140429 17.348966 31.519779 53.263542